Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
Overall conditions suggest no significant flood risk at this time. The tide is forecast to peak near 20.2 ft in the morning; however, barometric pressure remains relatively high (around 1021 hPa), and NOAA indicates a low (3.6%) flood likelihood.
WHEN
Highest water levels are expected around the morning high tide (near 08:00 PST) and the late afternoon/early evening tide (around 17:54 PST).
IMPACTS
Little to no coastal flooding is anticipated. Low-lying shoreline areas may see visibly higher water levels but are unlikely to experience inundation or notable property impacts.
• Historical Category 3 flood events often had both lower barometric pressures and higher NOAA flood likelihood percentages (8% and above). Today’s higher pressure reading and lower likelihood minimize the flood threat.
• Winds are light to moderate and do not align with historically higher-risk W/NW directions.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
A similar pattern continues with another morning high tide expected to reach around 20.3 ft. Barometric pressure is predicted to be even higher (above 1026 hPa), significantly reducing flood potential. NOAA flood likelihood remains low (3.0%).
WHEN
Peak tide heights late morning (around 08:30 PST) and again in the evening (around 18:48 PST).
IMPACTS
No impactful flooding is expected. Water may briefly approach the tops of beach areas, but conditions should remain safely below typical flood thresholds.
• Compared with past Category 3-4 events, these tide heights occur under much higher barometric pressure conditions, which indicates minimal flood risk.
• Winds remain moderate and are not from a flood-exacerbating direction.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
Close to a flood event and worth monitoring, but still unlikely to cause flood damage. NOAA labels this date’s flood likelihood as “High” in their daily outlook, though the numeric likelihood (5.0%) is below thresholds observed in past damaging floods. The tide may exceed 20.2 ft, but barometric pressure remains elevated (near 1029 hPa).
WHEN
Highest risk will be around the morning (09:00 PST) and evening (19:48 PST) high tide cycles.
IMPACTS
While not expected to be severe, watch for minor flooding in very low-lying areas. Water could briefly encroach on coastal walkways or parking areas immediately adjacent to the shoreline.
• Historically, more serious flooding has coincided with both high tides above ~21 ft and barometric pressures below ~1000 hPa, factors not met here.
• Compared to prior Category 3 events, today’s NOAA flood likelihood is lower, but the “High” designation warrants attention in case of any additional local changes (e.g., sudden wind shifts).
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.
Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.