Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
A higher-than-normal tide reaching around 20.3 ft is expected late in the morning. Minor coastal flooding could occur along shorelines and low-lying areas, but significant flood damage is unlikely.
WHEN
Peak tidal levels are anticipated mid-morning (approximately 9:54 AM to 10:12 AM PST).
IMPACTS
• Some minor shoreline inundation possible.
• Low-lying roads near the coast may see shallow flooding; isolated closures cannot be ruled out.
• Little to no property damage is expected.
• Barometric pressure near the high tide (around 1015.66 hPa) remains much higher than during severe flood events in the historical record, reducing the chances of major flooding.
• NOAA’s projected flood likelihood for December 27 is only about 4.1%, considerably lower than past Category 4 or 5 events, further indicating minor impacts.
• Winds remain relatively light and mostly from the NE/SSE, which decreases the threat of onshore wind-driven flooding.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
A similarly high morning tide near 20.2 ft and moderate barometric pressure are forecast. Conditions remain close to flood levels but are unlikely to cause substantial damage.
WHEN
Highest risk period is late morning (around 10:36 AM to 10:48 AM PST).
IMPACTS
• Minor flooding in normally flood-prone areas along the shoreline.
• Possible standing water on some coastal roads.
• Widespread property damage is not expected.
• Barometric pressure near the peak tide is around 1013.64 hPa, still higher than the low-pressure systems linked with major historical floods.
• NOAA indicates a 2.8% flood likelihood, classified as “Low,” aligning with conditions closer to Category 3 events in the past (i.e., worth watching but typically not damaging).
• Winds remain light, limiting storm surge influences.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
Continued high tidal levels (around 20.1 ft) along with relatively normal pressures. Although near flood thresholds, major inundation is not anticipated.
WHEN
Greatest concern is around midday (roughly 11:12 AM to 11:24 AM PST).
IMPACTS
• Temporary pooling of water over low-lying sections of the beach and nearby roads.
• Minimal risk to infrastructure; most impacts limited to brief nuisance flooding.
• Forecast barometric pressure near 1014.97 hPa is moderate and not indicative of severe storm conditions.
• NOAA’s flood likelihood is the lowest of the three days (2.0%), consistent with Category 3 conditions where flood damage is unlikely but observation is advised.
• Historical comparison shows significantly lower likelihood scores and higher pressures than in damaging Category 4–5 events.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.