Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
On January 4th, there is a moderate high tide reaching around 20.9 ft. Although NOAA’s flood likelihood is noted as 20.6%, the barometric pressures near 1024–1026 hPa are relatively high, which helps limit flood severity. This places conditions close to a flood event but not very likely to cause significant damage.
WHEN
Primarily during the high tides around 06:30 AM PST and again near 04:24 PM PST.
IMPACTS
Minor flooding in very low-lying coastal areas is possible. Road closures or notable property damage are unlikely with the current pressure and tide combination.
Comparing to the historical January 6, 2025, Category 3 event (which had a similarly high tide but slightly lower barometric pressure), conditions on January 4, 2026, are consistent with a Category 3 scenario. The elevated barometric pressure offsets some of the higher flood likelihood indicated by NOAA, keeping projected impacts minor but warranting monitoring.
CATEGORY 4
WHAT
A high tide near or slightly above 20.9 ft is expected again on January 5th, with barometric pressures around 1017–1020 hPa. NOAA’s flood likelihood is 28.9%, higher than the previous day’s estimate, suggesting that modest flooding is likely.
WHEN
Mainly at or around the morning high tide at 07:06 AM PST and the late afternoon peak at about 05:18 PM PST.
IMPACTS
Localized coastal flooding is likely. Low-lying roads may experience brief inundation, and some property adjacent to the shoreline could see minor flood effects. Major damage is not expected.
Historically, a Category 4 event (e.g., December 18, 2024, with a similar tide height around 20.6 ft) aligns with the expectation of flooding but without severe property damage. The slightly lower barometric pressure compared to Day 1 and a higher NOAA flood percentage support a Category 4 forecast for January 5.
CATEGORY 4
WHAT
On January 6th, the barometric pressure drops further to near 1010 hPa, paired with another high tide around 20.9 ft. NOAA’s flood likelihood stands at 24.0%. While this percentage is slightly down from Day 2, the lower barometric pressure increases the flooding potential.
WHEN
Greatest risk is near the high tides around 07:42 AM PST and 06:18 PM PST.
IMPACTS
Moderate flooding of coastal areas is likely, affecting beach parking lots, parks, and some low-lying roads. Widespread or major property damage is not anticipated.
Although the pressure is lower than the previous two days, tide levels remain below historical Category 5 benchmarks (e.g., 22.3 ft from December 27, 2022). These factors indicate a Category 4 forecast, with flooding impacts in low-lying coastal areas but limited likelihood of major structural harm.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.