Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
Close to a flood event and worth monitoring, but unlikely to cause flood damage. The morning high tide will reach just over 20 feet, which is significantly high, but the barometric pressure remains quite high (around 1026 hPa), reducing the likelihood of severe impacts.
WHEN
Highest concern near the morning high tide around 08:18 PST.
IMPACTS
Minor flooding in extremely low-lying areas is possible, but widespread or significant property damage is not expected at this stage.
• NOAA's Flood Likelihood for 2026-01-07 is listed as “High” at 17.1%. However, the very high barometric pressure reading historically correlates with less severe outcomes, so overall impacts are expected to remain low to moderate.
• Historical comparisons (e.g., 01/06/2025, categorized as a Category 3 event with similar tide heights but slightly lower pressure) reinforce that this scenario should remain in the moderate range.
• Winds from the south around 12 mph are not in the most concerning direction (W/NW) for maximum water push.
CATEGORY 4
WHAT
Flooding is likely, although it is not expected to cause major property damage. The morning high tide near 20.5 feet combines with a moderately lower barometric pressure (near 1011 hPa), which increases the chance of notable coastal flooding.
WHEN
Greatest potential for flooding impacts near the morning high tide around 08:48 PST.
IMPACTS
Coastal flooding of low-lying roads, parking areas, and beach access points is likely. Some minor over-topping of seawalls and localized road closures may occur, but most property damage should remain minor and isolated.
• NOAA’s Flood Likelihood for 2026-01-08 (9.3%) is labeled “High,” which supports an increased flood risk compared to Day 1.
• Historical Category 4 events (e.g., 12/18/2024) saw comparable tide heights around 20+ feet, although the barometric pressure then was slightly higher. The slightly lower pressure on this date elevates the chance of seeing moderate coastal flooding.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
No risk of flooding. Tides will approach 20 feet, but the barometric pressure near 1016 hPa remains moderate, and NOAA’s Flood Likelihood is much lower (2.2%).
WHEN
High tides around mid-morning (09:24 PST) and late evening (21:54 PST) are not expected to produce any notable flooding impacts.
IMPACTS
No flooding is anticipated. Normal tidal fluctuations with minimal coastal impacts.
• Compared with Day 1 and Day 2, the NOAA Flood Likelihood is significantly reduced.
• While tide heights remain high, the absence of low pressure and the relatively calm southerly winds minimize risk.
• No historical precedent suggests notable coastal flooding at this combination of pressure, wind speed, and a NOAA outlook that is so low.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.