Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
Based on the forecast, there is no significant risk of flooding for January 14. While tide heights reach around 18.6 ft, the barometric pressure is relatively high (above 1016 hPa), and NOAA’s flood likelihood estimate is 0%. Consequently, conditions do not suggest flooding.
WHEN
Highest tides occur near 4:06 AM and 12:42 PM PST, but no flooding impacts are expected around these times.
IMPACTS
No major impacts. Low-lying areas will likely remain unaffected, with no anticipated road closures or property damage.
• The barometric pressure is well above the low-pressure thresholds observed in historical flood events and remains in a stable range.
• Compared to the 12/27/2022 Category 5 event (22.297 ft tides and ~978.4 hPa pressure), these tide levels and pressures are much less conducive to flooding.
• NOAA’s official flood likelihood for Jan 14 is listed at 0.0% with the tidal threshold comfortably below critical levels.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
Similar to Day 1, no notable risk of flooding is anticipated for January 15. Forecast tide heights may briefly reach or exceed 19 ft, but the high barometric pressures (around 1023–1026 hPa) and NOAA’s continuing 0% flood likelihood keep flood risk low.
WHEN
Peak tides and potential highest water levels occur around 4:42 AM and 1:30 PM PST, with only routine fluctuations expected.
IMPACTS
No substantial impacts are expected. Shoreline access should remain normal. Roads and low-lying areas are unlikely to experience inundation.
• Even though the tide levels on this date are higher than on Jan 14, the barometric pressure is significantly higher than in past Category 3 or 4 flood events.
• Historical comparisons (e.g., with flood events around 20+ ft tide or sub-1000 hPa pressure) show these Day 2 conditions remain well outside typical flood-triggering ranges.
• NOAA data indicates negligible flood potential for Jan 15.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
January 16 continues the trend of high tides near 19–20 ft but paired with a very high barometric pressure (~1027 hPa). NOAA’s data projects nearly 0% (0.1%) flood likelihood. Hence, no significant flooding is anticipated.
WHEN
High tides around 5:12 AM and 2:18 PM PST. Conditions remain calm during these windows, with minimal wind influence from the north.
IMPACTS
No significant impacts to property or roads expected. Typical splash-over or minor ponding in very low-lying spots could occur, but it is unlikely to affect normal routines.
• The barometric pressures are much higher than in documented Category 3+ events, where pressures often dip below ~1010 hPa.
• As with Day 1 and Day 2, NOAA’s official estimate remains well under any threshold of concern.
• Tides, though relatively high, remain below the 20.5–22 ft range often seen in more serious historical flooding episodes.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Categories 1-2: No risk of flooding.
Category 3: Close to a flood event and worth monitoring.
Category 4: Flooding is likely however, it is uncertain if this will cause major property damage.
Category 5: Likely to flood and cause property damage.
Categories 6-7: Extremely high risk of flooding and property damage.