Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
We are close to flood conditions (Category 3) primarily due to relatively high tides, with a smaller contribution from lower atmospheric pressure. Winds are light and not a major factor, but water levels combined with moderate pressure push the forecast to a watchful state.
WHEN
Peak risk around the high tides in the early morning (near 06:00) and especially around 20:06 in the evening.
IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.
REASONING
Tide was the dominant factor (+0.367), with some boost from pressure (+0.070). Winds were negligible. Tail scenario agrees (Category 3), so there is no additional uncertainty. This is similar to the 2023-12-27 Cat 3 event.
CATEGORY 3
WHAT
Another day near flood thresholds, again categorized as 3, driven by a moderate high tide and modestly low pressure. Onshore wind remains minimal.
WHEN
Watch for brief flooding potential around the early morning high tide (near 06:36) and again into the evening peak (around 21:06).
IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.
REASONING
Tide contributed the most (+0.366), with a smaller contribution from pressure (+0.091). No other factors increased the risk. Tail scenario remains Category 3 with full agreement. This aligns with prior Category 3 analogs, such as 2023-12-27.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
Conditions are below flood thresholds, indicated by Category 2. Tides remain relatively high but are not expected to produce flooding.
WHEN
Highest tides will occur in the morning (around 07:24) and then again in late evening (around 22:12), though no flooding is anticipated.
IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.
REASONING
Tide is still the main contributor (+0.330), but lower overall levels keep this day at Category 2. The ensemble tail also shows Category 2, with no uncertainty concerns. A similar past analog day was 2023-01-06 (Cat 3), but current factors are not reaching flood thresholds.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.