Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
This is a Category 2 (no flood risk) day primarily driven by moderately high tidal levels. Although the ensemble’s central forecast suggests Category 1, there is around a 14% chance of hitting Category 2, so the official classification remains Category 2.
WHEN
Higher water stands are expected early Wednesday morning around 4:00 AM and again late Wednesday afternoon near 5:18 PM.
IMPACTS
• No flooding impacts anticipated.
REASONING
Tide is the dominant factor today, with minimal influence from pressure and no meaningful onshore wind. One of the closest analogs (January 6, 2025) reached Category 3, which is higher than today’s Category 2 classification, but that day had different conditions (lower pressure and somewhat stronger wind).
CATEGORY 1
WHAT
A routine Category 1 (no flood risk) day, driven mostly by the regular tide level. The ensemble shows a central Category 1 outcome, with about a 46% chance it could briefly approach Category 2.
WHEN
Peak water levels will occur Thursday morning around 4:24 AM and early Thursday evening near 6:06 PM.
IMPACTS
• No flooding impacts anticipated.
REASONING
The regular tide is the primary factor, with a minor boost from slightly below-normal pressure. Onshore wind is negligible. Though historical analogs (like January 6, 2025) have been Category 3, those events had different weather patterns.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
Friday is classified as Category 2 (no flood risk), mainly due to tidal height plus a modest contribution from below-normal pressure.
WHEN
Water levels will be highest Friday morning around 4:48 AM and again Friday evening near 6:48 PM.
IMPACTS
• No flooding impacts anticipated.
REASONING
Moderate tides plus slightly lowered pressure account for this Category 2 designation, with wind reducing the overall level slightly. The ensemble analysis agrees on Category 2, and similar past conditions have sometimes reached Category 3, but those involved stronger onshore wind or lower pressure.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.