Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-02

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Routine conditions with no flood risk expected. A moderate high tide is the primary factor.

WHEN
Peak water levels around 5:12 AM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
A moderate tide and near-normal pressure keep the flood threat minimal, while wind and other factors are negligible. This date is somewhat similar to the 2025-01-06 Cat 3 event, but overall conditions are calmer here.


Day 2: 2026-05-03

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Although still below flood thresholds, tides are slightly higher than on the previous day. Slightly lower-than-normal pressure also contributes to a modestly elevated water level.

WHEN
Peak water levels in the evening near 8:06 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide is the main driver, with modest influence from below-normal pressure and minimal onshore wind. This is somewhat reminiscent of the 2023-12-27 Cat 3 event, but conditions are calmer.


Day 3: 2026-05-04

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flooding is expected, but water levels remain slightly elevated due to a moderate tide and somewhat below-normal pressure.

WHEN
Highest water in the evening around 8:42 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
A moderately high tide combined with below-normal pressure drives the category. Wind contribution is minor. This resembles the 2023-01-06 Cat 3 event, though conditions for this forecast are lower overall.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySunMon Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.6 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1016.8 hPa1016.3–1017.3
Wind2 mph W0–1
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 1.7 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 75% similar.