Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-03

Category 2

WHAT Today is classified as Category 2, indicating no significant flood risk. The moderate tide and slightly below-normal pressure levels will not likely cause any shoreline issues.

WHEN Peak water levels are expected in the evening, around 8:06 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate tidal conditions are the primary factor, with minor support from slightly below-normal pressure. Onshore wind contribution is negligible. The closest analog date was 2023-12-27 (a Cat 3 event), but conditions now are producing a lower Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-05-04

Category 2

WHAT Another Category 2 day with routine tidal levels and mildly below-normal pressure. Conditions will remain quiet along the shoreline.

WHEN High tides will occur in the early morning around 6:12 AM and again in the evening near 8:42 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate tidal influence and slightly lower pressure remain the main factors. Wind effects are minimal. Analog dates (e.g., 2023-12-27 Cat 3) show similar patterns but with higher overall impact than expected today.

Day 3: 2026-05-05

Category 2

WHAT Category 2 persists, reflecting low flood risk with normal tides and near-normal pressure. Conditions are expected to remain stable.

WHEN Peak water levels around 6:42 AM and again near 9:24 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate, routine tides are the principal factor, with slightly below-normal pressure offering limited additional concern. Onshore wind effects are not significant. A notable analog is 2023-01-06 (Cat 3), but current drivers fall short of those conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayMonTue Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.5 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1011.4 hPa1008.6–1009.3
Wind9 mph NW3–5
Surge (forecast)0.40 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Wednesday, December 27, 2023 Category 3
Tide
13.8 ft
Pressure
1010.2 hPa
Wind
19 mph ESE

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 87% similar.