Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-04

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A routine tide near 12 ft is forecast, placing conditions into Category 2 (no flooding risk). Pressure is slightly below typical values, but not low enough to significantly raise water levels.

WHEN
Peak tidal periods are expected in the early morning around 6:12 AM and again near 8:42 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was the strongest contributor, with some support from moderately low pressure; wind had minimal influence. An analogous past date was 2023-12-27, a Cat 3 event, but today’s factors are not as high.

Day 2: 2026-05-05

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another routine high tide close to 12 ft leads to Category 2 conditions. Pressure is near normal, and wind does not appear to be a factor.

WHEN
Higher water levels around 6:42 AM and again after 9:00 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Again, tide is the main driver, with near-normal pressure and negligible wind. Analog days such as 2023-01-06 were Cat 3, but conditions this time are milder.

Day 3: 2026-05-06

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Tides are slightly lower, placing conditions well within Category 1 (no flood risk). Pressure is near or slightly above normal, further reducing any chance of minor flooding.

WHEN
Early morning high tide around 7:24 AM and evening high tide near 10:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The lower tide level is the primary factor keeping this day in Category 1. Winds remain modest, and pressure is not low enough to contribute to increased water levels.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.6 ft12.3 ft12.3 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1009.9 hPa1010.2–1011.3
Wind5 mph W6–8
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 3.9 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Wednesday, December 27, 2023 Category 3
Tide
13.8 ft
Pressure
1010.2 hPa
Wind
19 mph ESE

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 82% similar.