Category 1 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-10

CATEGORY 1

WHAT A routine situation is expected with small contributions from the tide and slightly below-normal pressure. No flooding risk is indicated for this day.

WHEN Peak water levels will occur early morning around 12:42 AM and again late morning around 11:48 AM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tidal height was the main factor, though it remains well below levels of concern. Pressure contributed modestly but is near normal, and onshore wind played virtually no role. Although the closest historical analog, 2025-01-06, was a Cat 3 event, current conditions only support Category 1.

Day 2: 2026-05-11

CATEGORY 1

WHAT Continued calm conditions with normal high tides and higher-than-normal pressure. Flood potential remains low.

WHEN Highest tide is expected early in the morning around 1:24 AM and again in the afternoon near 1:12 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide is the primary factor but remains moderate, pressure is somewhat above normal, and wind has insignificant onshore influence. Though the closest historical analog (2025-01-06 Cat 3) was higher, current conditions place this day firmly in Category 1.

Day 3: 2026-05-12

CATEGORY 1

WHAT Tide remains moderate and pressure is steady, keeping conditions routine. No flood concerns.

WHEN Expect peak tide in the early morning around 1:54 AM and in the early afternoon near 2:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Astronomical tide again leads the factors but is still not high enough for flood risk. Pressure stays near normal, and wind provides minimal effect. While a similar past day (2025-01-06 Cat 3) was more significant, the current forecast remains at Category 1.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayMonTue Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1016.4 hPa1016.1–1016.7
Wind2 mph SSE1–2
Surge (forecast)0.00 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 1.1 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 73% similar.