Category 1 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-10

Category 1

WHAT No flooding risk is expected. Slightly above-normal tide is the primary factor, with a minor boost from modestly low pressure but no onshore wind influence.

WHEN Peak tides occur in the early morning near 12:42 AM and late morning around 11:48 AM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The moderate astronomical tide is the main contributor, with a small added effect from pressure. Onshore wind is negligible. Although one of the closest historical matches (2025-01-06) was a Category 3 event, conditions here remain well below flood thresholds.


Day 2: 2026-05-11

Category 1

WHAT Again, no risk of flooding is indicated. The tide remains the dominant factor, with slightly higher pressure than the prior day and minimal offshore wind.

WHEN Higher water levels occur early morning near 1:24 AM and early afternoon around 1:12 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tidal influence stays modest, and higher pressure offsets any additional tide effects. The wind actually lessens flood risk. While historically similar days such as 2025-01-06 reached Category 3, present factors remain at low levels here.


Day 3: 2026-05-12

Category 1

WHAT No sign of flood conditions. Higher tide remains the principal influence, with slightly below-normal pressure but no onshore wind to increase risk.

WHEN Peak tide arrives overnight near 1:54 AM and then mid-afternoon around 2:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING A modestly higher tide drives the day’s forecast, but pressure is not low enough to raise concern, and offshore wind reduces any potential buildup. Comparable historical dates like 2025-01-06 were Category 3, but current day factors are lower, holding the forecast to Category 1.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayMonTue Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1016.4 hPa1016.0–1016.8
Wind2 mph SSE1–2
Surge (forecast)0.00 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 1.1 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 72% similar.