Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-11

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
A routine day with no flood risk, driven mostly by a moderate high tide. Pressure is near normal, and onshore wind influence is negligible.

WHEN
High tide peaks during the early morning around 1:24 AM and again around midday (just after noon).

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide made the primary contribution, but overall levels remain well below typical flooding thresholds. Pressure is fairly normal, and wind is minimal. Similar past events (e.g., 2025-01-06 Cat 3) had higher water levels and thus more risk, so today's category is lower.

Day 2: 2026-05-12

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
A second quiet day with ordinary tide levels. Pressure is slightly below normal but not enough to pose a flood threat.

WHEN
Peak tides occur in the early morning near 1:54 AM and in the mid-afternoon around 2:30 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide remains modest, with a small influence from below-normal pressure. Onshore wind is minimal and even somewhat offshore at times. While similar historical analogs (e.g., 2023-12-27 Cat 3) produced somewhat higher water levels, today's tides are simply not high enough for concern.

Day 3: 2026-05-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Slightly elevated but still below flood thresholds. A moderately higher tide combines with somewhat lowered pressure, raising the overall risk just a bit above routine levels.

WHEN
Highest tides are expected in the early morning around 2:30 AM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Here, the tide is somewhat more pronounced and the pressure is a bit below normal, which together push the risk up slightly. Wind remains negligible. Although the closest historical analogs are Category 3 events, conditions today are less intense, producing a lower category.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1021.9 hPa1021.5–1022.4
Wind2 mph SSW1–3
Surge (forecast)-0.10 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 2.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 78% similar.