Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-11

CATEGORY 1

WHAT A routine day with normal conditions leading to no flood risk. Tide is moderate, and pressure remains near normal with minimal wind influence.

WHEN Highest tides are expected early morning around 1:24 AM and again midday near 1:12 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide is the main factor, but not high enough to pose flood risk. Pressure is normal, and wind does not contribute to onshore flow. This is similar to the 2026-05-10 Cat 1 event.

Day 2: 2026-05-12

CATEGORY 1

WHAT No risk of flooding, with slightly below-normal pressure not enough to cause concerns. Despite a regular high tide, conditions remain well under flooding thresholds.

WHEN Peak tides are likely around 1:54 AM and mid-afternoon near 2:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide is still the primary driver, but not at a level to threaten flooding. Pressure is a bit lower than the previous day, though it does not significantly increase risk, and wind is minimal. One closest analog date was 2025-01-06 (a Cat 3), which exceeded today’s category but had different conditions than currently forecast.

Day 3: 2026-05-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Slightly higher tide and lower pressure result in a minor uptick in overall forecast category, but still no flood risk.

WHEN Highest water levels in the early morning hours around 2:30 AM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The elevated tide is the main contributor, with some support from lower-than-normal pressure. Wind is not adding much onshore effect. A past similar event, 2026-02-01, registered as Cat 3, but today’s tide and conditions are comparatively less impactful.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1021.9 hPa1021.5–1022.4
Wind2 mph SSW1–3
Surge (forecast)-0.10 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 2.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 77% similar.