Redondo Beach, WA
CATEGORY 1
WHAT
Category 1 conditions indicate no flooding risk is expected, with only a modest tidal influence. Both the early morning and midday high tides should remain below any flood threshold.
WHEN
Peak water levels will occur before dawn around 2:00 AM and again in the early afternoon near 2:30 PM.
IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.
REASONING
The primary factor is the routine high tide, with slight support from relatively normal atmospheric pressure. Onshore wind did not contribute much today. A closest historical analog on 2023-12-27 was Category 3, which exceeded today’s lower risk level.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
No flooding risk is expected despite a slightly higher tide than the previous day. Pressure is somewhat lower, but not enough to create flood concerns.
WHEN
Primary risk windows coincide with the higher tides, especially in the early morning near 2:30 AM.
IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.
REASONING
The tide is the main driver, with a moderate effect from below-normal pressure. Wind contributes minimally. Ensemble models agree on Category 2 with no higher tail scenario. One of the closest analogs, 2026-02-01, was Category 3, higher than this forecast.
CATEGORY 2
WHAT
Again, no significant flooding risk is forecast. Tides remain elevated, but supportive weather factors are weak.
WHEN
Peak water levels are expected early morning around 3:00 AM and again late afternoon near 4:30 PM.
IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.
REASONING
The most notable factor is the moderate tide. Pressure is only slightly supportive, and wind impact is minimal. Ensemble data consistently shows Category 2. One historical analog, 2026-02-01 (Category 3), involved higher risk than today’s conditions.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.