Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-12

CATEGORY 1

WHAT A routine day with no flood risk, driven mostly by a moderate high tide and near-normal pressure. Conditions are calm enough that flooding is not expected.

WHEN Highest tides occur early morning around 1:54 AM and again in the early afternoon around 2:30 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Today’s category is determined largely by a modest tidal influence, with pressure near normal and wind contributing very little. One of the similar past events (2023-12-27) reached Category 3, but current conditions remain well below that threshold.

Day 2: 2026-05-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Still no flooding risk, though slightly higher tide levels and below-normal pressure push it into Category 2. Overall conditions remain benign for Redondo Beach.

WHEN Peak tide risk is early morning around 2:30 AM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide is the primary factor, with somewhat reduced pressure offering a minor additional boost. Wind is present but provided negligible contribution. An analog day (2026-02-01) saw Category 3, yet our assessment stays at Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-05-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No sign of flooding, but a moderate onshore wind plus a relatively higher tide keep conditions in Category 2. Pressure is near normal, limiting any flood threat.

WHEN High tide peaks in the early morning around 2:54 AM and again late afternoon near 4:36 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate tidal levels remain the main driver, with a modest wind factor providing secondary support. Pressure is sufficiently normal to keep overall risk low. While a past analog (2026-01-06) reached Category 3, today’s outlook stays at Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayWedThu Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1016.1 hPa1014.9–1016.6
Wind2 mph NW2–4
Surge (forecast)0.00 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Wednesday, December 27, 2023 Category 3
Tide
13.8 ft
Pressure
1010.2 hPa
Wind
19 mph ESE

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 75% similar.