Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A routine tidal cycle is expected with no flood risk. The moderately high tide is the primary driver, with slightly below-average pressure also contributing.

WHEN
Peak tides in the early morning around 2:30 AM and a smaller high tide mid-afternoon near 3:30 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The main factor is the moderately high tide, with pressure slightly supporting but well above the threshold for concern. Onshore wind is minimal. Although one of the closest analogs (2023-01-06) was a Category 3, today’s conditions compute to Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-05-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flooding is anticipated, with routine high tide levels driving a low-risk profile. Pressure remains near normal, and wind speeds are moderate.

WHEN
Highest tide overnight into early morning around 3:00 AM; another elevated tide in late afternoon near 4:30 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide is the largest contributor, but still below worrying levels. Pressure is normal to slightly higher, and wind adds only minor support to water levels. Model consensus shows no higher category scenario.

Day 3: 2026-05-15

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Still no flood risk. Tides will be slightly higher than the previous days, but not enough to generate flooding concerns.

WHEN
Peak tides in the pre-dawn hours around 3:30 AM and again in the late afternoon close to 5:30 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
High astronomical tide is the main driver, with normal pressure and light onshore wind offering minimal contribution. The closest analogs were Category 3 events, but the ensemble consensus firmly places this day at Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1011.4 hPa1011.1–1015.5
Wind6 mph SSW3–17
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 5.4 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, January 06, 2023 Category 3
Tide
13.6 ft
Pressure
1011.5 hPa
Wind
13 mph S

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 82% similar.