Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT A routine day with no flood risk expected. Slightly above normal tide and modestly low pressure are present, but not enough to cause any issues under current conditions.

WHEN Peak water levels in the early morning around 2:30 AM and again in mid-afternoon near 2:30 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide is the main contributing factor today, with a small boost from slightly below-normal pressure and minimal onshore wind. This is somewhat similar to the 2023-01-06 Cat 3 event (which had higher overall conditions), but this forecast remains in Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-05-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Again, no risk of flooding is expected, with moderate tides and relatively high pressure keeping conditions benign.

WHEN Peak levels occur in the early morning around 2:54 AM and in the late afternoon near 4:36 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING The moderate tide is the primary driver for today's classification, with only slight help from pressure changes. Onshore wind is present but not strong enough to elevate flood concerns. This day’s conditions resemble the 2026-02-01 Cat 3 event, though pressures and overall risk are lower here.

Day 3: 2026-05-15

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No significant flood risk is expected. Slightly higher tides combine with near-normal pressure and calm wind influence.

WHEN Peak water levels in the early morning around 3:30 AM and again late afternoon near 5:30 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide is again the main contributor, with a minor effect from pressure. Onshore wind remains minimal. An analog day with similar conditions (2026-02-01, Cat 3) had a higher overall risk profile than we see here, so the forecast remains at Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.5 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1011.4 hPa1011.1–1012.3
Wind6 mph SSW3–6
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 5.4 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, January 06, 2023 Category 3
Tide
13.6 ft
Pressure
1011.5 hPa
Wind
13 mph S

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 82% similar.