Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-14

CATEGORY [2]

WHAT
Category 2 indicates no flooding risk. Tides are somewhat elevated, but conditions are still expected to remain routine.

WHEN
Peak water levels in the early morning (around 3:00 AM) and again in the late afternoon near 4:36 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The slightly above normal tide height is the main reason for the Category 2, with pressure near normal and negligible onshore wind. A similar date in the record was 2026-02-01 (Cat 3), but today’s forecast remains at Category 2.


Day 2: 2026-05-15

CATEGORY [2]

WHAT
Category 2 continues, and no flood impacts are expected. Tides remain modest, with no notable meteorological factors.

WHEN
High tides around 3:30 AM and again near 5:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tidal levels remain the primary driver, with near-normal pressure and calm onshore wind. Though 2026-02-01 also appeared as an analog (Cat 3), current conditions remain at Category 2.


Day 3: 2026-05-16

CATEGORY [2]

WHAT
Even with a king tide, conditions are expected to remain in Category 2 with no flooding risk. Pressure stays near normal, and onshore wind is minimal.

WHEN
Peak water around 4:06 AM during the king tide period.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The king tide adds a small bump, but overall water levels and pressure do not suggest flooding. A past analog, 2024-11-15, was a Cat 3 king tide event, but forecasts this time remain at Category 2.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayFriSat Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.7 ft12.1 ft12.1 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1020.8 hPa1014.1–1021.3
Wind9 mph SSW3–10
Surge (forecast)0.20 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 8.9 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Sunday, February 01, 2026 Category 3
Tide
13.3 ft
Pressure
1016.6 hPa
Wind
11 mph SSW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 88% similar.