Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Category 2 indicates no flooding concerns. Tides will be moderate, with a negligible contribution from pressure and wind. Overall, conditions should remain routine.

WHEN
Expect the highest water levels in the early morning around 2:54 AM and again in the late afternoon near 4:36 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate astronomical tide is the main factor, with only minor support from pressure. Onshore wind is minimal. This day is somewhat comparable to the 2026-02-01 Cat 3 event, though conditions now appear less severe.


Day 2: 2026-05-15

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Category 2 continues, indicating no threat of flooding. Elevated tides remain the key driver, with only slight influence from below-normal pressure and minimal wind effect.

WHEN
Peak water levels should occur around 3:30 AM and again in the evening near 5:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide is again the primary contributor, with a small addition from modestly lower pressure and little wind component. This forecast day is also reminiscent of 2026-02-01’s Cat 3 conditions, but current projections remain lower.


Day 3: 2026-05-16

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Despite this being a king tide day, the forecast remains at Category 2, meaning no flooding threat. The elevated tide is partially boosted by the king tide, but other factors such as wind and pressure are not enough to raise flooding concerns.

WHEN
Expect the highest water levels early in the morning around 4:06 AM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide, including a king tide bump, is the main factor, with only minor contributions from the slightly below-normal pressure and modest onshore wind. This resembles a previous king tide scenario on 2025-12-05 (Cat 3), though current conditions fall short of that event.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayFriSat Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.7 ft12.1 ft12.6 ft12.1 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1020.7 hPa1014.1–1021.3
Wind9 mph SSW3–10
Surge (forecast)0.20 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 8.9 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Sunday, February 01, 2026 Category 3
Tide
13.3 ft
Pressure
1016.6 hPa
Wind
11 mph SSW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 88% similar.