Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-15

CATEGORY 2

WHAT This is a routine day (Category 2) with a moderately high astronomical tide as the primary driver. Pressures are near normal, and winds are light onshore.

WHEN Peak high tides will occur in the early morning around 3:30 AM and again toward late afternoon around 5:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The slightly elevated tide was the main contributor, with minimal help from near-normal pressure and negligible wind effects. One historical analog from 2026-02-01 was Category 3, but conditions this time are more benign.


Day 2: 2026-05-16

CATEGORY 2

WHAT A King Tide occurs but only leads to Category 2, suggesting no flood concerns. Pressure is a bit lower than normal, though not enough to raise the risk.

WHEN The King Tide peak occurs early morning around 4:00–4:06 AM, with another high tide later in the afternoon to early evening.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The combination of a moderate overall tide and a small additional King Tide bump drives the classification. Slightly below-normal pressure does not substantially raise the flood threat. One historical analog from 2024-11-15 was Category 3, yet the current setup remains less intense.


Day 3: 2026-05-17

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Despite a relatively high tidal level, conditions remain at Category 2. Light offshore wind modestly reduces onshore water push.

WHEN High tides come in the early morning near 4:42 AM and again in the evening around 7:18 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide is the main driver, but offshore wind slightly lowers any flood potential. Pressure is near normal. One historical analog from 2025-01-06 was Category 3, yet this forecast stays below that level.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.2 ft12.6 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1020.3 hPa1020.2–1021.2
Wind10 mph SSW9–11
Surge (forecast)0.20 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 10.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Sunday, February 01, 2026 Category 3
Tide
13.3 ft
Pressure
1016.6 hPa
Wind
11 mph SSW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 92% similar.