Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-15

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Expect routine conditions with no flooding concerns. Tides are near average levels, and pressure is within normal ranges, resulting in a low overall risk.

WHEN Peak tides in the early morning around 3:30 AM and again late afternoon near 5:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The moderately high astronomical tide was the main contributing factor, with only slight support from near-normal pressure. Onshore wind was minimal, and there is no king tide today. One of the closest analogs was a Category 3 event on 2026-02-01, but current conditions are less intense, supporting a lower Category 2.


Day 2: 2026-05-16

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Although this is a king tide day, the overall flooding risk remains low. Tide levels are somewhat elevated, but pressure is not unusually low and the wind is weak.

WHEN Greatest high tide influence in the early morning near 4:00–4:06 AM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The king tide provided a small additional bump, but pressure is only slightly below normal and does not amplify the risk significantly. Onshore wind is minimal. One of the top analogs was a Category 3 event on 2024-11-15 during a king tide, but today’s conditions line up as Category 2.


Day 3: 2026-05-17

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No flood concerns are expected again today, with moderate tides and near-normal pressure. Wind is light and not pushing water onshore.

WHEN Peak risk windows early morning around 4:42 AM and evening near 7:18 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The primary driver continues to be the tide, with wind actually providing minimal or slightly negative influence. Pressure is near average, and no king tide is involved. A similar past event on 2025-01-06 reached Category 3, but current conditions favor Category 2.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.1 ft12.5 ft12.4 ft12.9 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1020.3 hPa1020.3–1021.2
Wind10 mph SSW8–11
Surge (forecast)0.20 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 10.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Sunday, February 01, 2026 Category 3
Tide
13.3 ft
Pressure
1016.6 hPa
Wind
11 mph SSW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 91% similar.