Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-16

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No flooding is expected, despite elevated water levels from a king tide. Overall conditions look routine with no immediate risk onshore.

WHEN Peak tides are expected in the early morning around 4:00 AM and again in the early evening around 6:00 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING A king tide provided the main boost, but pressure remained near normal and onshore winds were modest, keeping overall risk low. This event is somewhat similar to the 2025-12-05 Cat 3 king tide event, though forecast conditions are less intense this time.

Day 2: 2026-05-17

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No flood risk is expected. Moderate high tides will occur, but pressure is higher than normal and winds are minimal, so the situation should remain routine.

WHEN Look for the highest water levels in the early morning around 4:30–5:00 AM and again in the evening near 7:00 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tides are the primary driver, but with above-normal pressure and almost no onshore wind contribution, conditions stay below flood thresholds. This day most closely matches a previously recorded Cat 3 day (2025-01-06), but the current setup leads to a lower category.

Day 3: 2026-05-18

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No flooding is expected with continued moderate tides. Winds and pressure show no concerning patterns.

WHEN Peak tides occur in the morning near 5:30 AM and again in the evening around 8:00 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The main influence is the regular high tide, supported by slightly below-normal pressure, but onshore wind remains minimal. Though similar past conditions once reached Cat 3 on 2025-01-06, current factors point to a lower category outcome.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySunMon Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.6 ft12.5 ft12.2 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1018.6 hPa1018.4–1019.2
Wind12 mph SSW5–12
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 11.7 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 05, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.3 ft
Pressure
1017.1 hPa
Wind
15 mph SW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 87% similar · king tide.