Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-17

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Category 2 indicates no risk of flooding. A moderate tidal height around early morning and early evening is the main factor, with calm weather otherwise keeping conditions routine.

WHEN
Peak tide levels are expected in the early morning near 4:42 AM and again in the evening around 7:18 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide is the primary driver, with pressure and wind contributing very little. Although an analog on 2025-01-06 reached a Category 3 event, conditions are calmer this time, keeping today’s classification at Category 2.


Day 2: 2026-05-18

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flooding risk is expected for Monday, with a slightly higher tide than the previous day and a small pressure contribution. Overall conditions remain benign.

WHEN
Higher water stands near 5:24 AM and around 8:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide continues to be the main factor, with a minor boost from pressure. Wind remains minimal. Though the closest analogs were Category 3 events, today’s conditions support only a Category 2 outcome.


Day 3: 2026-05-19

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another day of generally routine conditions, driven by moderate tide with only slight pressure influence. Little to no risk of flooding is anticipated.

WHEN
Peak tides are forecast near 5:42 AM and again around 9:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tidal levels remain the primary contributor, with a small effect from slightly below-average pressure. Wind influence is light. While analog days such as 2025-01-06 were Category 3, this forecast stays at Category 2.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayMonTue Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.3 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1025.3 hPa1019.5–1024.4
Wind4 mph NW1–6
Surge (forecast)0.10 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 0.0 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 94% similar.