Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-17

Category 2

WHAT
No flooding risk is expected (Category 2). Slightly higher-than-normal tides are the main factor, while normal pressure and minimal onshore wind do not add much risk.

WHEN
Peak water levels will occur early morning around 4:42 AM and again in the evening near 7:18 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tides are driving the classification, with negligible support from pressure or wind. One of the closest analog dates, January 6, 2025, was a Category 3 event, meaning that past conditions on that date were more severe than this forecast.

Day 2: 2026-05-18

Category 2

WHAT
Category 2 conditions mean no flooding is expected. Moderately elevated tides with slightly lower-than-usual pressure do not pose a significant risk.

WHEN
High tides will peak around 5:24 AM in the morning and again near 8:12 PM in the evening.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide is the primary contributor, with a small additional effect from slightly below-normal pressure. Onshore wind influence is minimal. A close analog event on January 6, 2025, reached Category 3, indicating that situation was somewhat more intense.

Day 3: 2026-05-19

Category 2

WHAT
No flood risk (Category 2). Tidal levels are modest, with near-normal pressure and light winds keeping conditions stable.

WHEN
Expect peak high tide early in the day around 5:42 AM and again in the evening near 9:12 PM.

IMPACTS
- No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide remains the principal factor, while pressure and wind both offer minimal influence. Comparable historical setups have been Category 3, which were more severe conditions than we see here.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayMonTue Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.3 ft13.2 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1026.1 hPa1019.6–1024.8
Wind5 mph WSW1–6
Surge (forecast)0.10 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 3.9 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 86% similar.