Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-18

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flooding risk is expected. The main driver is a moderate tide, aided only slightly by normal pressure and light onshore flow.

WHEN
Peak water levels in the early morning around 5:24 AM and again in the evening near 8:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tidal factor is the primary contributor, with pressure near normal and minimal wind. One of the closest analogs, 2025-01-06, was a Category 3 event, but conditions are calmer this time, keeping the forecast at Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-05-19

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flooding risk is expected again. Continued moderate tides and near-normal pressure keep conditions benign.

WHEN
Highest tides occur in the morning around 6:12 AM and in the evening near 9:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tides remain the main factor, with only slight support from near-normal pressure and minimal onshore wind. Although a closest analog (2025-01-06) was a Category 3, current conditions stay below flood levels, yielding Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-05-20

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flooding risk persists for Wednesday. Tides are moderate, pressure remains near normal, and the wind component slightly reduces water levels.

WHEN
Peak tides in the morning near 7:06 AM and in the evening around 10:06 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide continues to be the most significant factor, but is not high enough to cause problems. Pressure is around normal, and the wind is modest. Though a close analog (2025-01-06) was Category 3, conditions this time remain at Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.6 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1022.6 hPa1020.8–1023.6
Wind5 mph WSW1–6
Surge (forecast)0.00 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 4.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 82% similar.