Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-18

CATEGORY 2

WHAT A routine high tide event with no flooding expected. The primary influence is the moderately high regular tide, but overall conditions remain well below flood thresholds.

WHEN Highest tide levels will occur in the early morning around 5:24 AM and again in the evening near 8:12 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Regular tidal levels are the main driver for the Category 2 rating, with only minimal support from normal atmospheric pressure and negligible wind effects. Although the closest historical analog on 2025-01-06 reached Category 3, current conditions are less intense, keeping the level at Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-05-19

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Another day of relatively routine tidal conditions leading to a low flood risk. Water levels will be similar to the previous day with no indications of shoreline inundation.

WHEN Peak water levels are expected in the evening around 9:12 PM, aligned with the regularly scheduled high tide.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The moderate tide remains the primary factor, reinforced only slightly by near-normal pressure. Wind does not meaningfully contribute. A higher-category analog (2025-01-06, Category 3) does not apply under these calmer conditions, so the rating remains at Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-05-20

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Another calm tidal cycle, again remaining below any flood threshold despite moderate tidal heights. Offshore wind provides a slight offset, resulting in no flood concern.

WHEN High tide occurs around 7:06 AM and again in the late evening near 10:06 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate tidal levels lead the classification. Pressure is generally steady, and the modest offshore component of the wind slightly reduces water buildup. While the closest analog (2025-01-06) reached Category 3, today’s conditions are calmer, holding at Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.6 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1023.5 hPa1021.0–1023.1
Wind5 mph WSW2–6
Surge (forecast)0.00 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 4.5 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, January 06, 2025 Category 3
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1028.4 hPa
Wind
9 mph N

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 83% similar.