Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-19

CATEGORY 2

WHAT A Category 2 event is expected, primarily due to a moderate high tide. Pressure is near normal, and winds are minimal, so no flooding is anticipated.

WHEN Peak water levels are expected into the evening, around 9:12 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide was the main factor pushing the classification to Category 2, with little support from pressure or wind. A close historical analog on 2026-02-01 was Category 3, higher than today’s Category 2, but ensemble models agree there is no elevated tail risk here.

Day 2: 2026-05-20

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Another Category 2 event is forecast, driven mostly by moderate tidal levels. Pressure remains fairly normal, and the onshore wind is not a concern.

WHEN Look for peak water levels in the morning near 7:06 AM and again in the late evening around 10:06 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate tide dominates the forecast, with minor influence from slightly below-normal pressure. Winds actually reduce overall risk a bit. A similar past case (2025-01-06) reached Category 3, which is higher than today’s Category 2, but no ensemble spread suggests an escalation.

Day 3: 2026-05-21

CATEGORY 1

WHAT A routine Category 1 day with minimal tidal influence and normal conditions.

WHEN High tide occurs in the morning around 8:12 AM and late at night near 11:00 PM, neither of which is expected to pose a flood risk.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide is modest, and winds are very light, keeping this at Category 1. A close analog on 2025-01-06 was Category 3, but today’s conditions are calmer, and there is no higher tail risk indicated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayWedThu Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.4 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1022.5 hPa1022.2–1023.2
Wind6 mph WSW1–3
Surge (forecast)-0.10 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 5.9 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Sunday, February 01, 2026 Category 3
Tide
13.3 ft
Pressure
1016.6 hPa
Wind
11 mph SSW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 80% similar.