Category 1 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-05-21

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Category 1 (no flooding risk) is expected, with modest high tide and near-normal pressure. Onshore wind remains minimal, so conditions should stay well below flood thresholds.

WHEN
Peak water levels are anticipated in the morning around 8:12 AM and again late evening near 11:00 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Moderate tide was the primary factor, with a slight upward push from generally normal pressure. Onshore wind contributed little overall. Although the closest historical analog (December 27, 2023) was a Category 3, the current conditions are less intense, leading to Category 1.

Day 2: 2026-05-22

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Category 1 (no flooding risk) is forecast again. Tides will be moderate, and pressure is only slightly below average, providing no significant push toward flood conditions.

WHEN
Highest tide levels should occur around 9:24 AM and again near 11:54 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Slightly lower-than-normal pressure was noted, but tide remains moderate, and onshore wind is weak. The best-matching past events (e.g., December 27, 2023, Cat 3) had higher intensities; today's conditions stay well within the Category 1 range.

Day 3: 2026-05-23

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Category 1 (no flooding risk) continues, with steady tides near normal levels and minor meteorological influences. Calm conditions give little reason for flood concerns.

WHEN
Key high tides arrive around midnight (12:00 AM) and late morning near 10:54 AM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Moderate tidal height is the main driver, while pressure is near normal and wind contributes negligibly. Although a closer analog date (December 27, 2023) reached Category 3, our current setup remains well below flooding thresholds.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayFriSat Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1015.3 hPa1015.4–1016.9
Wind10 mph NW2–4
Surge (forecast)0.00 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Wednesday, December 27, 2023 Category 3
Tide
13.8 ft
Pressure
1010.2 hPa
Wind
19 mph ESE

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 79% similar.