Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-06-16

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
There is a moderate chance of reaching near-flood conditions due to elevated high tides. Water levels may briefly approach the tops of shoreline structures.

WHEN
Peak risk around the early morning high tide near 5:06 AM and again in the evening near 8:06 PM.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Higher-than-usual tides are the main factor behind today’s Category 3 classification, with pressure near normal and minimal onshore wind. One past event on 2026-01-05 was also Category 3 under somewhat similar tidal conditions.

Day 2: 2026-06-17

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Elevated tides again push water levels close to flood conditions. Limited meteorological influences mean a small but noticeable rise along the shoreline.

WHEN
Peak risk around 6:06 AM and again near 8:54 PM, coinciding with the daily high tides.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Tides remain the leading contributor, while pressure is slightly above average and wind effect is negligible. Ensemble models agree on Category 3 with no higher tail risk.

Day 3: 2026-06-18

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
The pattern of moderately high tides continues, placing us just near flood thresholds at the shoreline. Conditions on the wind and pressure fronts are not extreme but the consistently high tides warrant a close watch.

WHEN
Peak risk near 7:06 AM and again around 9:36 PM during high tides.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Elevated tidal levels are the primary driver for Category 3, with normal pressure and only a slight offshore wind component that does little to reduce water height. All ensemble members align on this same outcome.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayWedThu Cat 3 · 13 ft 13.8 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1015.6 hPa1016.6–1017.2
Wind6 mph W2–6
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 4.8 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 10, 2021 Category 1
Tide
13.7 ft
Pressure
1016.9 hPa
Wind
10 mph S

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 90% similar.