Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-06-17

CATEGORY 3

WHAT We are close to flood conditions for Wednesday, primarily driven by moderately high tides and near-normal pressure. Though not guaranteed, minor flooding is worth monitoring.

WHEN Peak risk around 6:06 AM and again near 8:54 PM.

IMPACTS • Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING The tide was the main driver for today's flood category, with only slight support from the pressure factor and virtually no contribution from wind. All models agree on Category 3 conditions.

Day 2: 2026-06-18

CATEGORY 3

WHAT Thursday remains near flood conditions due to continued high tides and somewhat lower-than-normal pressure. Overall risk is moderate but still worth monitoring.

WHEN Peak risk around 7:06 AM and again near 9:36 PM.

IMPACTS • Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING High astronomical tide is the primary contributor, with below-normal pressure adding to the risk. Onshore wind has minimal influence, and ensemble models unanimously support Category 3.

Day 3: 2026-06-19

CATEGORY 3

WHAT Friday’s conditions stay close to flood thresholds, again led by moderately high tides and lower pressure. Minor flooding concerns continue but remain within a moderate risk zone.

WHEN Peak risk around 8:12 AM and again near 10:18 PM.

IMPACTS • Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING A relatively high tide and slightly lower pressure are the main factors, with modest onshore wind also contributing. This is similar to the 2026-01-05 Cat 3 event. There is no divergence in ensemble forecasts, so Category 3 is expected with confidence.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft 13.7 ft13.7 ft13.6 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1018.6 hPa1016.9–1017.8
Wind4 mph WNW2–5
Surge (forecast)0.40 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 1.5 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 20, 2024 Category 1
Tide
13.4 ft
Pressure
1016.4 hPa
Wind
13 mph E

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 91% similar.