Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-06-18

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Category 3 means conditions are close to minor flooding. Elevated tides are the primary driver, with slightly lower than normal pressure also providing some support.

WHEN
Peak risk around the morning high tide near 7:06 AM and again at the evening high tide around 9:36 PM.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible along the immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Higher-than-average tidal levels are the main factor for this Category 3 forecast, with the pressure running a bit below typical values. Onshore wind contributed very little. All ensemble members agree on Category 3 for this date, so no higher tail risk is indicated.

Day 2: 2026-06-19

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Close to minor flood conditions again on Friday, mainly driven by moderate high tides combined with below-normal pressure. A light onshore breeze is not expected to significantly worsen things.

WHEN
Peak risk around 8:12 AM and again near 10:18 PM.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible along the immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Moderate tidal heights plus slightly lower pressure kept this day at Category 3. Wind is minimal. This forecast is similar to the 2023-01-13 Cat 3 event, reinforcing the potential for minor impacts.

Day 3: 2026-06-20

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Saturday remains near minor flood thresholds as higher tides and continued slightly below-normal pressure keep conditions worth monitoring. Onshore wind stays modest.

WHEN
Peak risk around 9:24 AM and near 11:00 PM.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible along the immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Elevated tidal levels are again the main driver, with moderate support from slightly lower pressure. Winds remain minimal. This is similar to the 2026-01-05 Cat 3 event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayFriSat Cat 3 · 13 ft 13.4 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1013.8 hPa1012.5–1013.2
Wind10 mph NW4–6
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 09, 2022 Category 1
Tide
14.2 ft
Pressure
1012.8 hPa
Wind
10 mph E

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 97% similar.