Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-06-18

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Category 3 conditions are forecast, indicating we are close to flood conditions. The main driver is a moderately high regular tide, with a slight boost from near-normal pressure and minimal onshore wind.

WHEN
Peak risk around the early morning high tide near 7:06 AM and again during the evening high tide around 9:36 PM.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Tidal height is the primary factor elevating the forecast to Category 3, with a small contribution from pressure slightly below its highest levels. Onshore winds are minimal, so they do not contribute significantly. No ensemble members suggest a worse scenario, so confidence is high there is no higher category risk today.

Day 2: 2026-06-19

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
We remain at Category 3, close to flood conditions. A moderate tide and somewhat below-average pressure contribute, while wind remains modest and does not significantly elevate risk.

WHEN
Peak risk near the morning high tide around 8:12 AM and again in the late evening near 10:18 PM.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING
Tide continues to be a meaningful factor, with below-normal pressure offering additional support toward higher water levels. Wind once again remains light, limiting onshore push. This is similar to the January 13, 2023 Cat 3 event. The ensemble shows no higher-category tail.

Day 3: 2026-06-20

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Another Category 3 day is expected, with moderate tides and light onshore wind. Pressure is not extremely low, but it is slightly supportive of higher water levels.

WHEN
Peak risk around 9:24 AM for the morning high tide, and again around 11:00 PM overnight.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING
The tide remains the principal factor, and local pressure is moderately below the highest readings, creating conditions close to flood thresholds. Light onshore wind provides minimal additional effect. This is similar to the January 5, 2026 Cat 3 event. Ensemble forecasts show consistent agreement at Category 3.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayFriSat Cat 3 · 13 ft 13.4 ft13.4 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1014.2 hPa1013.3–1013.7
Wind10 mph NW3–6
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 09, 2022 Category 1
Tide
14.2 ft
Pressure
1012.8 hPa
Wind
10 mph E

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 97% similar.