Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-07-11

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Routine conditions with no flood risk expected. The main factor is a moderate astronomical tide, with minimal help from slightly below-normal pressure.

WHEN
Peak high tides occur around 1:18 AM and again near 4:54 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was the primary contributor, and mild pressure effects added a small amount. Onshore wind and other factors contributed very little, keeping the overall category at 2. All models agree, so there is no significant uncertainty in this forecast.

Day 2: 2026-07-12

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flood risk again, driven mostly by modest tidal levels and near-normal pressure. Winds are stronger than the previous day but remain insufficient to cause any water rise concerns.

WHEN
High tides peak around 2:12 AM and 5:42 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Moderate tide is the dominant factor, with slightly below-normal pressure adding a small effect. Wind is noticeable but does not meaningfully elevate water levels. The ensemble shows unanimous agreement at Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-07-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another day of routine conditions with no significant coastal flooding threat. A slightly higher astronomical tide does not coincide with low enough pressure to push conditions above Category 2.

WHEN
Highest tides occur around 3:12 AM and 6:24 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Though the tide is somewhat higher, pressures are closer to normal, and wind is minimal from an onshore-flooding perspective. The ensemble models firmly place this day at Category 2, with no likelihood of more severe outcomes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySunMon Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.4 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1013.0 hPa1012.7–1013.2
Wind4 mph WSW2–4
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 3.0 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, June 20, 2025 Category 1
Tide
12.5 ft
Pressure
1011.5 hPa
Wind
9 mph WNW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 92% similar.