Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-07-11

CATEGORY 2

WHAT A Category 2 event indicates no flooding risk. Moderate astronomical tide is the primary factor, with slightly below normal pressure providing a small additional influence.

WHEN Peak water levels are expected near 1:18 AM and again around 4:54 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide height was the main contributor, with small support from near-normal pressure. Onshore wind was minimal and did not significantly affect water levels. Ensemble models fully agree on Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-07-12

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Expect another Category 2 day with routine tidal conditions and no flooding risk. The tide drives most of the forecast, with near-normal pressure offering slight influence.

WHEN Peak water levels will occur around 2:12 AM and again near 5:42 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate tide is the key driver, with modest support from pressure. Wind remains light and does not contribute meaningfully. All models converge on Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-07-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Again, Category 2 conditions indicate no expected flooding. A slightly higher astronomical tide than the prior days remains below critical thresholds.

WHEN Peak water levels are likely around 3:12 AM and 6:24 PM.

IMPACTS - No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide is the main factor, and pressure is slightly higher than on previous days, further reducing any flood threat. Offshore to minimal onshore wind did not contribute. The ensemble agreement is unanimous at Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySunMon Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1013.0 hPa1012.7–1013.2
Wind4 mph WSW2–3
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 3.0 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, February 23, 2026 Category 1
Tide
13.1 ft
Pressure
1018.0 hPa
Wind
10 mph SE

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 92% similar.