Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-07-22

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Category 2 indicates no flood risk. Today’s moderately high tide and near-normal atmospheric pressure are the main factors raising the alert, but conditions are still below flood thresholds.

WHEN Peak tides are expected around 12:00 AM and again near 1:54 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide contributes most of the signal, with support from slightly lower-than-average pressure. Wind is negligible today, and ensemble models agree there is no chance of reaching a higher category. Past similar conditions have often been Category 1, but the small additional pressure effect leads to Category 2 in this forecast.

Day 2: 2026-07-23

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Another day at Category 2, meaning no flooding is expected. A moderate tide combined with lower-than-normal pressure are boosting the forecast slightly, but not to a flooding range.

WHEN Main high tides will occur around 12:00 AM and near 3:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide and below-normal pressure are the primary factors, while wind remains minimal. Conditions are somewhat similar to past events that ended up as Category 1, but the extra downward pressure effect supports Category 2 today. Ensemble runs all agree on this outcome.

Day 3: 2026-07-24

CATEGORY 1

WHAT A Category 1 forecast signals normal conditions with no flood risk. Tides are slightly lower than the previous days, and pressure is near normal.

WHEN Highest tides occur around 12:48 AM and 4:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The tide is a modest contributor, and pressure is relatively stable. Winds are not significantly onshore. This forecast is similar to the 2021-07-02 Category 1 event, with no ensemble indication of escalation above Category 1.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1012.9 hPa1012.3–1012.9
Wind3 mph WNW3–3
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 1.2 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, June 20, 2025 Category 1
Tide
12.5 ft
Pressure
1011.5 hPa
Wind
9 mph WNW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 96% similar.