Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-07-30

CATEGORY 2

WHAT A Category 2 event means conditions are not expected to reach flood levels. Slightly higher than usual tides, along with near-normal pressure, are driving this classification, but overall flood risk remains low.

WHEN Peak tides are expected early morning around 5:24 AM and again in the evening near 7:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The main driver is the moderately elevated astronomical tide, with minimal contribution from pressure and wind. All ensemble models agree on Category 2 with no higher-tail scenario indicated.

Day 2: 2026-07-31

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Another day of routine tidal conditions, leading to a Category 2 forecast. The tide will be slightly higher than normal, but calm winds and near-normal pressure keep flood risk low.

WHEN Highest tide falls in the early morning around 6:06 AM and in the evening around 7:48 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Similar to the previous day, the elevated tide is the main factor, with little help from relatively normal pressure and minimal onshore wind. Ensemble guidance unanimously anticipates Category 2, with no indication of a worse scenario.

Day 3: 2026-08-01

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Despite a moderate onshore wind and a modest drop in pressure, conditions remain below flood thresholds, yielding a Category 2 forecast. While tides are slightly higher than the preceding days, the overall risk remains low.

WHEN Peak risk is tied to the high tide in the morning around 6:48 AM and the evening near 8:12 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The slightly elevated tide and somewhat lower pressure influenced today’s category, but neither is strong enough to trigger flooding. A past analog, 2026-02-01, reached Cat 3 with somewhat similar tides; however, present-day factors are less pronounced, so the model holds at Category 2. The ensemble does not show a higher-tail possibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayFriSat Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1018.0 hPa1017.8–1018.3
Wind7 mph WSW2–3
Surge (forecast)0.20 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 5.4 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Saturday, July 18, 2026 Category 1
Tide
12.9 ft
Pressure
1019.1 hPa
Wind
6 mph WSW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.