Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-08-12

Category 2

WHAT A moderate astronomical tide is expected, with near-normal pressure and very light onshore wind. Overall conditions remain routine, leading to no risk of flooding.

WHEN Peak high tides occur early morning around 4:12 AM and again in the early evening near 6:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide is the primary factor, but with normal atmospheric pressure and little wind contribution, the result stays at Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-08-13

Category 2

WHAT Tide remains the primary contributor, with slightly below-normal pressure. Light wind from the northwest is not expected to boost water levels significantly, so no flood impacts are expected.

WHEN Highest water levels should arrive in the morning around 5:12 AM and in the evening near 7:00 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate astronomical tide and slightly lower pressure drive the category. Wind remains minimal. One of the closest historical analogs (2023-12-27) reached Category 3, but conditions now are milder, so we remain at Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-08-14

Category 2

WHAT Moderate tide and somewhat below-normal pressure continue, but wind remains light. Flooding is not expected under these combined factors.

WHEN High tides arrive around 6:06 AM and in the evening near 7:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide is again the main driver, with a small pressure effect and minimal wind. An analog day (2023-12-27 Cat 3) had stronger contributing factors; actual conditions are weaker this time, keeping us at Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft 13.2 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1016.4 hPa1012.5–1013.3
Wind5 mph W3–6
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 3.8 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, February 23, 2026 Category 1
Tide
13.1 ft
Pressure
1018.0 hPa
Wind
10 mph SE

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 95% similar.