Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-08-12

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
This day is classified as Category 2, indicating no flood risk. Moderate tidal levels and near-normal pressure are the main factors, with minimal wind influence.

WHEN
Highest tides around 4:12 AM and again near 6:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide was the primary contributor, supported slightly by normal pressure. Onshore wind had a negligible effect, keeping overall risk low. Closest analog events are Cat 1 days, which do not match or exceed the current Category 2 level.


Day 2: 2026-08-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
This forecast shows Category 2, meaning no flood risk despite a slightly higher tide and somewhat lower pressure. Conditions remain stable enough that flooding is unlikely.

WHEN
Peak water levels near 5:12 AM and around 7:00 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate tide is the primary driver, with slight support from below-normal pressure. Ensemble guidance leans toward Category 3, but the deterministic classification remains at 2. Historical analogs include the 2023-12-27 event at Category 3, which exceeds today’s assigned category.


Day 3: 2026-08-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Category 2, with no flood risk expected. Moderate tides and slightly below-normal pressure do not pose a significant threat.

WHEN
Highest tides around 6:06 AM and near 7:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide remains the main factor, with only minor influence from below-normal pressure. An analog day (2023-12-27) reached Category 3, but conditions here are below that threshold.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1016.8 hPa1012.4–1013.6
Wind3 mph W2–5
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 2.1 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, February 23, 2026 Category 1
Tide
13.1 ft
Pressure
1018.0 hPa
Wind
10 mph SE

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 96% similar.