Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-08-30

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A Category 2 event indicates no flood risk for Redondo Beach. Slightly above normal tides and near-normal atmospheric pressure are the primary drivers today, with minimal wind influence.

WHEN
Peak water levels are expected near 6:48 AM and again around 7:18 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Today’s classification reflects a modestly elevated tide as the main factor, while pressure is close to normal and wind contribution is negligible. Comparable past events on record were generally Category 1, so today’s conditions are only slightly higher but still do not pose a flooding concern.


Day 2: 2026-08-31

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Officially classified as Category 2, implying no flood risk; however, below-normal pressure slightly boosts water levels, so residents should stay aware.

WHEN
Highest tides will take place around 7:36 AM and 7:42 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Even though pressure is somewhat lower than typical and the tide is moderately high, wind remains minimal. The classifier indicates Category 2, but ensemble guidance suggests some possibility of Category 3 conditions, so we encourage monitoring in case conditions trend higher. Notably, a close analog is the 2023-12-27 Cat 3 event, which underscores the importance of keeping an eye on conditions.


Day 3: 2026-09-01

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Close-to-flood conditions (Category 3) are likely, driven mainly by a moderately high tide and slightly below-normal pressure, with some onshore wind component.

WHEN
Peak water levels are around 8:30 AM and 8:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at the immediate shoreline.

REASONING
The higher astronomical tide is the main contributor, with below-normal pressure offering additional support; onshore wind adds a minor effect. This forecast resembles the 2026-01-05 Cat 3 event, so it’s worth monitoring in case conditions intensify.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayMonTue Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1019.2 hPa1017.1–1017.4
Wind4 mph W4–6
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 2.8 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, February 23, 2026 Category 1
Tide
13.1 ft
Pressure
1018.0 hPa
Wind
10 mph SE

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 94% similar.