Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-02

CATEGORY 3

WHAT Category 3 conditions are expected, close to flood thresholds. Elevated tidal levels are the main driver, with somewhat lower pressure providing additional support.

WHEN Peak risk is around the morning high tide near 9:36 AM and again in the evening near 8:48 PM.

IMPACTS • Minor inundation possible at the immediate shoreline.

REASONING The relatively high astronomical tide was the primary reason for the Category 3 rating, with modest influence from slightly below-normal pressure. Onshore wind contributed little. This is similar to the 2026-01-07 Cat 3 event.

Day 2: 2026-09-03

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No flooding risk expected. Routine tides and normal pressure keep conditions stable.

WHEN Highest water levels around 10:54 AM and 9:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide and modestly below-normal pressure contributed, but minimal onshore wind leaves the day in a routine Category 2 range. Models show consistent agreement at this category.

Day 3: 2026-09-04

CATEGORY 1

WHAT No flooding risk expected. Tidal levels and pressure remain near typical values.

WHEN High tides around 12:36 PM and again near 10:24 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Moderate tide and average pressure keep the day at Category 1. Wind factor is negligible. This is similar to the 2025-09-05 Cat 1 event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft 13.0 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1004.6 hPa1005.5–1006.8
Wind13 mph S7–10
Surge (forecast)0.90 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 10.8 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, February 16, 2026 Category 1
Tide
13.0 ft
Pressure
1004.5 hPa
Wind
12 mph SSW

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 94% similar.