Category 3 · ELEVATED FLOOD RISK

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-02

CATEGORY 3

WHAT
Close to flood conditions are possible on Wednesday, with a moderate high tide and somewhat below-normal pressure driving the risk. Although conditions warrant attention, widespread flooding is not expected at this stage.

WHEN
Peak risk is around the morning high tide near 9:36 AM and again in the evening near 8:48 PM.

IMPACTS
• Minor inundation possible at immediate shoreline.

REASONING
The moderate astronomical tide is the main contributor, with modest support from below-normal pressure; onshore wind contributed little. This is similar to the 2026-01-05 Cat 3 event.

Day 2: 2026-09-03

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flooding is expected on Thursday. The day’s classification is low, driven mostly by a moderate tide and near-to-slightly below-normal pressure.

WHEN
Highest water levels are around 10:54 AM and 9:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
A typical astronomical tide and near-normal pressure produced a routine result. Wind had minimal influence. All models agree on this low category.

Day 3: 2026-09-04

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Routine conditions on Friday with no flooding risk. A moderate tide and generally normal pressure keep the threat low.

WHEN
Peak water levels occur midday around 12:36 PM and again in the late evening near 10:24 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide was primary but is not high enough to cause issues. Pressure is near normal, and wind is minimal. This is similar to the 2024-04-26 Cat 1 event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayThuFri Cat 3 · 13 ft 13.0 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1003.7 hPa1006.3–1006.9
Wind8 mph SW6–8
Surge (forecast)0.90 ft
NOAA HTF likelihood0%

Onshore component: 7.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, March 28, 2025 Category 1
Tide
13.4 ft
Pressure
1004.0 hPa
Wind
13 mph S

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 96% similar.