Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-07

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A routine day with slightly above-normal tides that do not pose a flood risk. Overall conditions remain stable, leading to a low category assignment.

WHEN
Highest tides occur around 1:06 AM and again near 4:12 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The modestly elevated tide was the primary factor, with near-normal pressure and negligible onshore wind. All ensemble models agree on Category 2, with no higher tail scenario.

Day 2: 2026-09-08

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another routine day with slightly higher than normal tides. Winds and pressure remain near or slightly above normal, so no flooding is expected.

WHEN
Peak tides occur around 2:24 AM and 4:48 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Slightly above-normal tide was the main driver; however, minimal wind effect and normal pressure levels keep conditions benign. Ensemble consensus shows no risk beyond Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-09-09

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Yet another day in a similar pattern: tides are modestly elevated but below flooding thresholds. Light winds and normal pressure maintain low risk.

WHEN
Highest tides are near 3:30 AM and 5:18 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was again the primary contributor, although still below levels that would cause flooding, with near-normal pressure and little wind effect. The ensemble tail also remains at Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1020.6 hPa1019.7–1020.5
Wind4 mph SSW1–3
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 4.2 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, January 26, 2024 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.1 ft
Pressure
1020.6 hPa
Wind
8 mph S

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.