Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-08

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A Category 2 event with no significant flooding threat. The regular high tide is the primary driver, and near-normal pressure and light winds are contributing scarcely.

WHEN
Peak high tides around 2:24 AM and 4:48 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide was the main factor, with minimal positive contribution from near-normal pressure and a slight negative influence from light onshore wind. Ensemble models are in complete agreement with Category 2, indicating no higher tail risk.

Day 2: 2026-09-09

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another Category 2 day with no notable flood issues. The moderate tide is the primary driver, with very little effect from pressure or wind.

WHEN
Peak high tides near 3:30 AM and 5:18 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
High tide levels dominate the classification, while near-normal pressure and minimal wind support keep the overall risk at Category 2. All ensemble members agree on Category 2 with no spread toward higher categories.

Day 3: 2026-09-10

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A continued Category 2 pattern, with the slightly higher tide and modestly lower pressure not reaching flood potential. Wind remains minimal.

WHEN
Peak high tides around 4:30 AM and 5:42 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was the foremost contributor, and pressure provided a mild boost. Wind was negligible. Ensemble consensus remains firmly at Category 2, so no upper-tail risk is expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayWedThu Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1023.8 hPa1023.0–1023.1
Wind4 mph N7–8
Surge (forecast)0.10 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Monday, February 02, 2026 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.0 ft
Pressure
1024.0 hPa
Wind
9 mph E

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 97% similar.