Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-11

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Category 2 conditions indicate no flooding risk. A slightly elevated tide and near-normal pressure are expected to keep water levels below flood thresholds.

WHEN
Peak water levels around 5:24 AM and again near 6:06 PM. No significant issues anticipated at these times.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide factor is the main influence, with near-normal pressure and minimal wind contribution. One analog day, 2026-01-06, reached Category 3 under stronger wind conditions, but today remains at Category 2 with no concerns for flooding.


Day 2: 2026-09-12

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Expect another day of routine conditions with slightly elevated tides. Pressure is somewhat lower but still not enough to pose a flood risk.

WHEN
High tides occur around 6:12 AM and 6:36 PM. No flooding is expected at those times.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide remains the primary factor, with a minor effect from slightly below-normal pressure. Winds stay minimal. An analog day, 2026-01-06, resulted in Category 3, but it had more impactful wind; today stays at Category 2.


Day 3: 2026-09-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flood risk again, as moderately elevated tides and somewhat low pressure remain well below the threshold for any inundation.

WHEN
Highest tides occur near 7:06 AM and around 7:00 PM. Conditions remain benign.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The tide factor and slightly below-normal pressure drive conditions but are not intense enough for flooding. A similar past day, 2023-01-06, was Category 3 due to higher winds, whereas today’s winds and pressure keep it at Category 2.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.2 ft12.9 ft12.8 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1016.1 hPa1012.6–1013.3
Wind5 mph SW2–3
Surge (forecast)0.60 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 4.4 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, December 10, 2021 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.7 ft
Pressure
1016.9 hPa
Wind
10 mph S

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.