Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-12

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Flooding is not expected. Moderate astronomical tide is the primary driver, with near-normal pressure and minimal onshore wind.

WHEN
Highest tides will occur around 6:12 AM and again near 6:36 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
This Category 2 forecast is mainly due to moderate tidal levels, with slight contribution from pressure. One close analog, 2023-01-06, was a Cat 3 event, but it had higher overall conditions than those expected today.

Day 2: 2026-09-13

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Flooding is not expected. Astronomical tide remains moderate, and pressure is near normal, with only minimal onshore wind influence.

WHEN
Peak tides occur around 7:06 AM and 7:00 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Category 2 resulted mostly from moderate tide levels and slightly above-normal pressure. A similar past event, 2026-02-01, reached Cat 3, but conditions that day were somewhat stronger than what is forecast here.

Day 3: 2026-09-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
No flooding risk. Tides are still modest, and relatively higher atmospheric pressure further reduces any flood concern.

WHEN
Highest tides will occur around 8:00 AM and near 7:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
This Category 2 forecast is driven by normal-to-moderate tides, above-normal pressure, and very light onshore wind. There are no closer analogs that match or exceed the current forecast category.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySunMon Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1012.4 hPa1010.4–1011.4
Wind5 mph WNW2–6
Surge (forecast)0.70 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 1.4 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, January 06, 2023 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.6 ft
Pressure
1011.5 hPa
Wind
13 mph S

Observed that day: Category 3 flooding.

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.