Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-14

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Category 2 indicates no flooding risk is expected. Tidal levels are moderately high, but winds and pressure remain near normal, reducing any flooding concern.

WHEN
Peak tides will occur around 8:00 AM and again near 7:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was the main factor, with pressure adding only a small amount. Onshore wind remained minimal, so overall risk stays in Category 2 with no ensemble indication of a higher category.

Day 2: 2026-09-15

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Again, Category 2 suggests no flooding risk. Tidal influence is noticeable, but slightly lower pressure does not push conditions beyond routine levels.

WHEN
Highest water levels around 8:54 AM and especially near 8:00 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide remained the primary contributor, with wind mildly offsetting flood potential. Pressure is somewhat lower than the previous day but still not enough to raise flood concerns; ensemble forecasts agree on Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-09-16

CATEGORY 1

WHAT
Category 1 has no flood risk. Tidal levels and near-normal pressure keep conditions safely below flooding thresholds.

WHEN
Look for peak tides around 9:54 AM and 8:30 PM, but flooding is not anticipated.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Moderate tidal factor with very little wind contribution led to this minimal category. Conditions resemble the 2023-11-10 Cat 1 event, and ensemble forecasts show no higher risk.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayTueWed Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1020.4 hPa1018.2–1018.9
Wind6 mph WSW1–3
Surge (forecast)0.50 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 5.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, January 26, 2024 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.1 ft
Pressure
1020.6 hPa
Wind
8 mph S

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 99% similar.