Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-22

CATEGORY 1

WHAT No flooding risk is expected. The primary driver is a moderate astronomical tide, with a small boost from local pressure and a slight offshore wind helping keep water levels down.

WHEN Peak high tides occur around 2:06 AM and again near 4:06 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide was the main factor, with a minor positive contribution from the pressure pattern and a small negative contribution from offshore wind. This is similar to the 2026-08-28 Cat 1 event.

Day 2: 2026-09-23

CATEGORY 1

WHAT No flooding risk is expected. The tide remains the main factor, accompanied by near-normal pressure and minimal onshore wind influence.

WHEN Peak high tide windows occur around 3:00 AM and 4:30 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING A moderate tide is the principal driver, with a slight positive effect from local pressure and negligible wind impact. This is consistent with the 2026-07-31 Cat 1 event.

Day 3: 2026-09-24

CATEGORY 2

WHAT No immediate flooding concerns, but water levels will be a bit higher than the prior days. The slightly higher tide is the main element affecting conditions.

WHEN Peak risk near 3:48 AM and 4:48 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The higher tide is the chief driver for this classification, with local pressure adding a small positive influence. Offshore wind provides a modest offset. No comparable higher-category analog was identified here.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayWedThu Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1017.8 hPa1016.9–1017.3
Wind2 mph NE3–5
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

No significant onshore component. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, August 28, 2026 Scored Category 1
Tide
12.1 ft
Pressure
1017.6 hPa
Wind
10 mph SW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.