Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-25

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
A routine day with overall water levels not expected to reach flood thresholds. The slightly elevated tide is the primary factor, with below-normal pressure adding a small boost.

WHEN
Highest water will occur early morning around 4:30 AM and again in the late afternoon near 5:06 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The moderate astronomical tide was the main contributor, with below-normal pressure providing a minor increase. Onshore wind contributed very little. All ensemble members agree on Category 2.

Day 2: 2026-09-26

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Another routine day with tide being the main driver, but still well below flood levels. Pressure is fairly high, further reducing any flood risk.

WHEN
Peak tides near 5:12 AM and around 5:30 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
The slightly elevated astronomical tide was the main contributor, while near- or above-normal pressure limited water levels. Wind influence is negligible. Ensemble forecasts consistently place this day in Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-09-27

CATEGORY 2

WHAT
Tidal conditions remain moderate, with near-normal pressure and only minimal wind effects. Overall water levels are expected to stay below flood thresholds.

WHEN
Highest tides around 6:00 AM and 5:54 PM.

IMPACTS
• No impact anticipated.

REASONING
Tide was again the largest factor, with near-normal barometric pressure contributing slightly. A slight offshore wind component actually reduces water rise a bit. The ensemble shows unanimous agreement on Category 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodaySatSun Cat 3 · 13 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1007.4 hPa1014.9–1016.1
Wind16 mph S13–18
Surge (forecast)0.60 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 12.3 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Friday, August 23, 2024 Scored Category 2
Tide
13.2 ft
Pressure
1009.5 hPa
Wind
8 mph S

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 96% similar.