Category 2 · NO FLOODING EXPECTED

Flood Watch

Redondo Beach, WA

Day 1: 2026-09-29

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Category 2 conditions expected, driven mostly by a moderately high tide and slightly lower-than-normal pressure. Onshore wind is minimal for this day.

WHEN Peak water levels in the early morning around 7:42 AM and again in the early evening near 6:48 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING The main driver for this Category 2 classification is the tidal height. Pressure is mildly supportive of higher water, while onshore wind has little effect. All models agree on Category 2 with no higher tail scenario.

Day 2: 2026-09-30

CATEGORY 2

WHAT Still a Category 2 day, primarily influenced by the moderate tide. Pressure is near average, and wind slightly reduces onshore effects.

WHEN High tide risk windows around 8:36 AM and again near 7:24 PM.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide remains the main factor, with near-average pressure offering a slight positive influence. Wind is minimally offsetting. No ensemble spread above Category 2.

Day 3: 2026-10-01

CATEGORY 1

WHAT A routine day with no flooding risk, thanks to a relatively lower tidal range and stable atmospheric conditions.

WHEN High tides around 9:36 AM and 8:06 PM, but neither is expected to cause issues.

IMPACTS • No impact anticipated.

REASONING Tide is on the lower side compared to previous days, and pressure plus light wind have minimal influence. This day is similar to 2025-09-12, which was also a Category 1 event. Forecast models consistently show Category 1 for this date.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

CATEGORY KEY

Forecast detail

72-hour tide forecast at Tacoma (NOAA), local time. Dashed line is the Category 3 threshold.
14 ft 12 ft 10 ft TodayWedThu Cat 3 · 13 ft 12.8 ft12.3 ft

Weather panel — Day 1

CentralEnsemble p10–p90
Pressure1013.4 hPa1013.5–1014.8
Wind10 mph SW5–9
Surge (forecast)0.30 ft—
NOAA HTF likelihood0%—

Onshore component: 9.8 mph. Pressure values are MSL; wind is the 10-meter forecast. Ensemble spread is the 10th–90th percentile across five weather models (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, UKMO).

Closest past event

Saturday, June 20, 2026 Scored Category 2
Tide
12.9 ft
Pressure
1013.1 hPa
Wind
10 mph WSW

Observed that day: no flooding reported (no corroborating evidence found in the audit log).

Selected from the nearest-neighbor search across every logged flood event · 98% similar.